Dota2 · resolved market
Team Spirit to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30f36b1824cf549b0ec5fea52ac181bedce7d013c5db807c69e0da677c98c3b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 21c | 5,494$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.44 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 20c | 5,450$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.44 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 23c | 5,073$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.25 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.62 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed No | 11c | 1,042$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Yes | 72c | 790$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.1 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 28c | 629.43$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.24 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 15c | 475$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed No | 33c | 307.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Yes | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 28c | 199.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…ece1backed Yes | 73c | 123.69$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked No | 27c | 121.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…0a15backed Yes | 72c | 81.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Yes | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…62c7backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 29c | 70.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 78c | 49.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 78c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed No | 32c | 44.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 71c | 41.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…ae1fbacked Yes | 72c | 34.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…bcb1backed Yes | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…2135backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team Spirit to win 2-0?this page
- REKONIX to win 2-0?No won
- REKONIX vs Team Spirit: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.