Dota2 · resolved market
L1ga Team to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeb08ffb569b7d332224e6bcee0ffcb26cfe8caa95dea5c008152c3cee737fc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 48c | 1,911$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.72 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 44c | 1,836$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.89 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yes | 50c | 1,006$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Yes | 62c | 958.14$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.15 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 52c | 564.75$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.47 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…d607backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Yes | 58c | 423.71$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.75 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 54c | 334.46$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.98 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed No | 55c | 195$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed No | 46c | 180.23$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed No | 54c | 177$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Yes | 53c | 149.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 128 | 60.9%78 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 53c | 146.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 51c | 131$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b4…67bdbacked Yes | 47c | 121.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 45c | 112.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…62c7backed Yes | 49c | 102.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Yes | 49c | 102.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6694…ea6fbacked No | 52c | 102$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…878ebacked Yes | 50c | 100.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…c90bbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 51c | 94.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed No | 55c | 79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 39c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…3332backed Yes | 56c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…8fd8backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 58c | 58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yes | 34c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 51c | 48.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Yes | 39c | 47.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked No | 58c | 43.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Yes | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 30c | 35.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…5146backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 253 | 56.5%143 W · 110 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Yes | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…111abacked Yes | 42c | 28.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 58c | 25.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 52c | 22.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- L1ga Team to win 2-0?this page
- Level UP to win 2-0?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.