Dota2 · resolved market
Team Liquid to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa441ba5255a2eae0b99357465af80287f21ebc86385de20d2133fbaf6062a40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 70c | 3,011$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.38 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed No | 31c | 1,103$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.76 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 24c | 989$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.57 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 23c | 840.4$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 76c | 803$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.26 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed No | 31c | 595$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.45 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2776…4ecbbacked Yes | 69c | 580$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked No | 28c | 468.61$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.21 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 78c | 435.42$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…6aa1backed No | 29c | 410.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed No | 24c | 372$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed No | 30c | 355.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 70c | 312$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed No | 33c | 299.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 31c | 250.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Yes | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 33c | 237$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 72c | 222.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Yes | 66c | 200.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed No | 31c | 159.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 31c | 103.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 524 | 50.8%266 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 69c | 102.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 34c | 91.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 26c | 71.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 31c | 67.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8eb…9d25backed No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 68c | 50.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 30c | 33.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…ec81backed Yes | 68c | 29.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 120 | 73.3%88 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Yes | 70c | 28.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Yes | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team Liquid to win 2-0?this page
- Level UP to win 2-0?No won
- Team Liquid vs Level UP: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.