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Champions League · resolved market

Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,409
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,409 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3ea2…e8e5backed No74c15,000$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9003100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c14,359$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.552,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes24c13,653$3,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,285.11,06236.3%386 W · 676 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.9711345.1%51 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c7,678$5,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.5470446.3%326 W · 378 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Yes25c6,080$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Yes21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes53c4,696$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.432045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No74c4,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.9757347.6%273 W · 300 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c3,610$2,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.4149751.9%258 W · 239 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed No74c3,500$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No74c2,669$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.2719447.9%93 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes15c2,636$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.911,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes14c2,044$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.6341743.4%181 W · 236 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0d…5de2backed Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes27c1,729$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.1818141.4%75 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8973…f760backed No38c1,705$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.072931%9 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+65.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes30c1,589$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4717345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No76c1,500$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.511346%52 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes25c1,494$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.59945.5%45 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Yes4c1,418$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.011040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dab…55dabacked Yes48c1,400$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes31c1,393$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.0354239.5%214 W · 328 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No75c1,117$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.0432931.9%105 W · 224 L-26.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6aca…e738backed Yes48c1,107$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb97…a730backed Yes26c1,038$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No79c1,033$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.161,14135.4%404 W · 737 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No58c1,032$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.763137.7%238 W · 393 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Yes53c1,024$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5471258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No75c1,022$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5539042.3%165 W · 225 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Yes5c999.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes19c995.48$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.053458.8%20 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+93.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes14c971.43$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1362123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes14c955$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.73444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Yes11c928.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.051926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Yes28c892.5$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.92272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes26c840.08$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.421612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd845…d19fbacked Yes24c832.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe8…843fbacked Yes25c808$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012236.9%45 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedc…36c0backed Yes26c696.15$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b13…ade2backed Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid+42.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes28c591.52$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.632050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed No75c538.79$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.79540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…a400backed Yes24c499.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.61625%4 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes21c466.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.410547.6%50 W · 55 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b46…8f13backed Yes26c465.92$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.14540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Yes26c457.77$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.021540%6 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed No74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.413470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206720.9%14 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36ab…d5a7backed Yes26c384.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Yes52c384.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.994944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No75c373.06$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.343040%12 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97cb…c910backed Yes43c371.18$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed Yes25c370.37$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.592532%8 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes28c363.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.88475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+62.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cde…610cbacked Yes39c352.84$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.11526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Yes58c344.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No75c332.98$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8911742.7%50 W · 67 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd329…61c2backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1508241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c299.56$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8961741.5%256 W · 361 L-21.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes32c297.74$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.196157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes36c287$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.948470.2%59 W · 25 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes48c277.65$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.273333.3%11 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc1b0…9907backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba83…f8b0backed Yes26c269.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No74c268.89$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.911361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+104.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes43c261.75$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7313349.6%66 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed No43c233.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.262334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes6c227.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.034247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Yes26c227.44$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.131050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Yes26c227.42$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.13560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes49c221.34$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.392263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+37.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes17c217.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No74c217.57$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5616852.4%88 W · 80 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes46c214$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4426653.8%143 W · 123 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900e…9e0ebacked Yes26c211.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf81a…349ebacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No71c206.11$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.681643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes28c203.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.793050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x383f…5631backed No40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No75c198.89$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.577846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed No55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+49.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No73c179.98$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.63961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f83…255cbacked Yes40c177.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+525%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No74c174.94$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.742850.2%215 W · 213 L+25.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed No57c174.39$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.992661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed No51c168.27$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.462548%12 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes24c162.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.584250%21 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No74c152.7$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.73551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e9…2b3abacked No75c144.21$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.244100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes19c135.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.41741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed Yes32c131.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.471625%4 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef2…d5c5backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1317…35fdbacked Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes17c127.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.976933.3%23 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No75c121.47$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3739043.6%170 W · 220 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes43c120.93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027244.1%120 W · 152 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.