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Champions League · resolved market

Will Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No18c13,110$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,787.531,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc232…b83cbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes45c9,619$4,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,327.21,06236.3%386 W · 676 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No10c6,651$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,000.041643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No59c4,019$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.279935.3%282 W · 517 L-36.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No33c3,097$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.432931.9%105 W · 224 L-26.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x405e…9c34backed Yes25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes27c2,553$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.515217.3%9 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.956366.7%42 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No22c2,115$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.1841743.4%181 W · 236 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3761…203cbacked Yes30c2,001$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50057347.6%273 W · 300 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No70c1,902$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.51,14135.4%404 W · 737 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No73c1,745$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.784332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c1,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37570446.3%326 W · 378 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No70c1,444$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.3154239.5%214 W · 328 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.333271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+57.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No40c1,229$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.4510546.7%49 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No76c1,140$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.62339.1%9 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No67c1,127$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.582070%14 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25014020.7%29 W · 111 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Yes33c922.8$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.521741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c808.62$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.4749751.9%258 W · 239 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No15c588.26$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.022420.8%5 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid-36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No75c584.01$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14619447.9%93 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b52…41f3backed Yes25c556.84$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes25c461$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6424940.6%101 W · 148 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes25c422$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.53444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No62c417.83$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8911742.7%50 W · 67 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9551…5bc8backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No75c385.13$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2835746.8%167 W · 190 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1b…7217backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No75c366.3$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.578357.8%48 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ae…46d7backed No67c320$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+53.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed No22c275.48$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.942263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+37.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No14c269$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.3420936.8%77 W · 132 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75e9…2b3abacked No76c216.4$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.144100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed No31c210$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.082272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029540.3%119 W · 176 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes27c191.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b13…ade2backed Yes25c188.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.23714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid+42.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes25c180$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510239.2%40 W · 62 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No75c176$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443568.6%24 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No23c165.85$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.311659.5%69 W · 47 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf98d…384ebacked Yes25c160.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.789442.6%40 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09a…0450backed Yes9c142.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No59c142.04$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+114.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes72c133.61$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7228636.4%104 W · 182 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d91…cdebbacked No16c130$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.52429.2%7 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No10c122.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.165545.5%25 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No56c115.21$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.771752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad6…c911backed Yes46c104.7$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes57c104.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2411…71abbacked Yes26c102.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53c8…7f69backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+113.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed No18c99.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.171540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No11c97.24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.937737.7%29 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No14c96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.565549.1%27 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes50c93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.514843.9%65 W · 83 L-12.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6404…edbdbacked Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb61…d89abacked No76c89.71$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c84.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.922,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f9…fcc3backed No68c81.12$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.141258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e2c…2e9ebacked Yes25c81.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7011…70ccbacked Yes26c80.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed No15c76.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.761926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No14c71.19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.941450%7 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+68.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1db6…fa76backed Yes26c68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes25c66.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6635832.7%117 W · 241 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.794866.7%32 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb31…fe71backed Yes79c63.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2997…cf48backed Yes26c61.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.081225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e26…adcebacked Yes33c61.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No65c61.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3751746.2%239 W · 278 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.53831.6%12 W · 26 L-8.4wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-37%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.546533.8%157 W · 308 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ed…c3f5backed Yes26c49.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b0…741bbacked Yes29c49.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes24c49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7672548.6%352 W · 373 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd329…61c2backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eaa…0585backed Yes37c39.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d40…ba95backed No70c35.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.691145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.542444.1%187 W · 237 L-22.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No67c28.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3339043.6%170 W · 220 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No39c27.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.567345.2%33 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66eb…a375backed No64c24.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No75c20.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.123450%17 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed No65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+61.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes75c18.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.261275%9 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7052…5629backed No75c17.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49571.6%68 W · 27 L+14.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+30.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.84955.1%27 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed No75c14.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.676634.8%23 W · 43 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.