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Champions League · resolved market

Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$297,747
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$323,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,747 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No60c30,190$18,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,236.561,06236.3%386 W · 676 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c21,292$11,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,071.842,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No50c16,337$8,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,168.514351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes48c16,257$7,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,381.2142850.2%215 W · 213 L+25.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes38c15,000$5,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,249.9911345.1%51 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No50c11,971$5,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,985.575450%27 W · 27 L+7.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+36.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf5aa…fd4abacked Yes51c8,500$4,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1902100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Yes50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,000785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick45cpaid+82.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No52c7,724$4,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,015.9928747.4%136 W · 151 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed No50c7,500$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,750955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd97d…6bf4backed Yes51c7,200$3,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,528580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+61%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,500785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+58.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes49c7,000$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5703941%16 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Yes51c6,988$3,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,424.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes50c6,786$3,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,412.6370446.3%326 W · 378 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No49c5,986$2,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,933.3111346%52 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes50c5,941$2,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.7440253.7%216 W · 186 L+22.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes49c5,643$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,858.2657347.6%273 W · 300 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No57c5,158$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,920.0479935.3%282 W · 517 L-36.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes35c4,604$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,015.5632931.9%105 W · 224 L-26.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes42c4,133$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,384.673271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+57.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Yes49c3,985$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.26520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f62…dd4dbacked No49c3,840$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No5c3,717$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.19478.5%4 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-73.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes14c3,590$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,082.3920936.8%77 W · 132 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c3,552$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.871,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…30aabacked No44c3,300$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.551181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+55.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6252060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8aa…7b9bbacked No56c3,057$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Yes49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No50c2,937$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.6536744.4%163 W · 204 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No50c2,784$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.2435746.8%167 W · 190 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed Yes49c2,621$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.761872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+34.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No62c2,440$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.565046%23 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c2,102$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.4961741.5%256 W · 361 L-21.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes50c2,023$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.638357.8%48 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8973…f760backed No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002931%9 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+65.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6804680.4%37 W · 9 L+10.0wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+50.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1b81…4967backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-60%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.992245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8366…54ffbacked No56c1,958$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.171050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No49c1,937$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.3219447.9%93 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes32c1,929$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.710546.7%49 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No62c1,848$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.511,14135.4%404 W · 737 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Yes50c1,755$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.5875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No50c1,699$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.5449751.9%258 W · 239 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Yes51c1,600$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7841346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…abb2backed No47c1,546$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-48.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes49c1,500$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7608927%24 W · 65 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed No48c1,398$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.04757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes37c1,311$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.095545.5%25 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes38c1,300$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.5646533.8%157 W · 308 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ebc…89c8backed Yes52c1,300$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No49c1,258$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.7939042.3%165 W · 225 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes50c1,247$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.2235832.7%117 W · 241 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes52c1,223$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.542763%17 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+62.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes51c1,189$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.597332.2%313 W · 660 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No54c1,184$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.555545.5%25 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes24c1,037$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.6841743.4%181 W · 236 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No52c1,033$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.162236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-47%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes51c1,029$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.251172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+50.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No2c1,015$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.252420.8%5 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid-36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x578a…c93ebacked Yes51c1,014$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc581…0f24backed No51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502548%12 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No49c999.7$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.852065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes52c975.57$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.433444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No50c960.87$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.7316546.1%76 W · 89 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa6d…8409backed Yes50c872.94$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked No51c837$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.8718141.4%75 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f8…6f42backed Yes25c803.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ea…ec86backed No25c763$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes39c712.8$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.877133.8%24 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes29c661.49$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.4910729%31 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes28c642.86$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.864242.9%18 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes50c637.9$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.959349.5%46 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002564%16 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed No50c598.55$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.282166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+64.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Yes28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.71812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No5c520$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-61.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Yes49c502.82$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+80.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2837…e9fabacked Yes48c499.96$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.98520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-58.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb283…4501backed Yes23c499.18$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.82333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+46.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes41c498.13$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.562263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+37.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No48c487.5$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2342737%10 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No6c480$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.82020%4 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes63c475.68$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.684158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes28c463.93$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.9454239.5%214 W · 328 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No51c430.73$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0616852.4%88 W · 80 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes52c429.52$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4663137.7%238 W · 393 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No60c424.95$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.257846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes74c403.65$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.657070%49 W · 21 L+10.2wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+31.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes75c401.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.87265.3%47 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20029334.5%101 W · 192 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed No53c394.45$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2082441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No53c391$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.98470.2%59 W · 25 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes49c390.72$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.129848%47 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No53c387.99$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.5330345.9%139 W · 164 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.