Fifa International · resolved market
Will Canada be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa38ae750d79ac5a7ba7dd12d1941e554e5c9e6dc2588476f285ef2063b0e8e06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 73c | 461.22$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.37 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…bb43backed Yes | 76c | 314.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes | 50c | 286.81$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.41 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 63c | 271.73$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…bb47backed Yes | 55c | 271.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 26c | 215.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 30c | 206.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 44c | 182.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…f73cbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.48per pick | 39cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 13c | 125.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 46c | 123.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 28c | 122.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 44c | 110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Yes | 71c | 106.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 14c | 101.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…0742backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d78…5b09backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 83.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 37c | 79.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…cf75backed Yes | 63c | 79.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 70c | 77.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…2468backed Yes | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 30c | 71.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…95cebacked No | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bff…3709backed Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…494bbacked No | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 38c | 58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…df21backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x158a…47a7backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…08a9backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…062abacked Yes | 41c | 48.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 44c | 44.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 40.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…aadbbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 33c | 31.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…69eebacked No | 59c | 26.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d49…0718backed No | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5536…ade2backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…3e31backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 79c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Mexico be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.