TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Chess · resolved market

Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa qualify for the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,996 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Chess
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbd7…1778backed Yes78c590.75$460 inWon+$130.771346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes43c560$242 inWon+$317.657735.1%27 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x421b…ac12backed No20c276.05$55 inLost-$55.211553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53cb…fc91backed No70c260$181 inLost-$181.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Yes50c200$100 inWon+$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No51c100.03$51 inLost-$51.456137.7%23 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec75…8786backed Yes80c75$60 inWon+$155324.5%13 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f50…1fb6backed No31c40$12 inLost-$12.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No51c20$10 inLost-$10.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.