NBA · resolved market
NBA Finals G6: Will SGA score 35+ points against the Pacers?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x351c3aae7b1f55fd4b20df5d76a42485f0317a450bf78df52590ce77a7aba175
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dee…a012backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f8…6f3bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…96ecbacked No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…b91abacked No | 55c | 960$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf258…0cebbacked No | 55c | 940$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d7…1287backed Yes | 45c | 745$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 45c | 399.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 44c | 317.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1656…b5babacked Yes | 45c | 255$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 55c | 200.08$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ef…e955backed No | 56c | 180.52$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f96…9dd5backed No | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…0562backed No | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a9…b006backed No | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308e…def2backed No | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…89b1backed No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefea…d2febacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310c…cf0abacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8baf…6f15backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…94e9backed No | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…cb4cbacked No | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.