NHL · resolved market
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5400bb04f16473c4e2e170878c8bc4f81f7026ac5fd098010817eb65fb78a81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Bruins, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Panthers | 66c | 421.55$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.33 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bruins | 35c | 370.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Bruins | 38c | 286.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Bruins | 34c | 259.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Bruins | 38c | 256.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Panthers | 62c | 239.02$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Panthers | 66c | 195.9$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Panthers | 62c | 193.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Panthers | 65c | 180.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bruins | 38c | 160.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Bruins | 37c | 118.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba2e…7799backed Bruins | 38c | 105.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 40cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Panthers | 63c | 99.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…2488backed Bruins | 14c | 78.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Panthers | 65c | 76.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Panthers | 71c | 76.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bruins | 25c | 68.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Panthers | 64c | 53.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Panthers | 64c | 38.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Panthers | 65c | 31.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Panthers | 63c | 30.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Panthers | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Panthers | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Bruins | 38c | 28.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Panthers | 65c | 24.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Panthers | 64c | 21.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)this page
- Bruins vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.