NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51ec7b45f3cbf2d8bb0efbf5ed7a3c178190a2b19da85a6320cfa743550052d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 2,698$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.03 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 13c | 1,970$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.94 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 1,088$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.22 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked Over | 48c | 1,052$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 53c | 718.87$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.87 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 638.94$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.69 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…ce52backed Under | 48c | 521.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 497.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.06 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 48c | 476.57$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.75 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 46c | 473.61$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.6 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 54c | 407.91$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.91 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 48c | 253.91$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.88 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 194$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 107.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 43c | 95.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 31c | 76.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 49c | 76.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 39c | 70.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 28c | 68.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…2488backed Under | 28c | 68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 47c | 60.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…8279backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 31c | 46.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 69c | 42.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 65c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Over | 65c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 61c | 35.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…b9e0backed Over | 47c | 35.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 33.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Over | 49c | 30.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 52c | 27.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 66c | 25.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37d4…b33cbacked Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd556…8803backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…7010backed Over | 46c | 24.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…2935backed Over | 46c | 24.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 63c | 24.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de5…8e44backed Under | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…e87ebacked Under | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…c8b9backed Under | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80b…ae5ebacked Over | 46c | 23.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3682…848ebacked Over | 46c | 23.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…c027backed Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae52…54d5backed Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…dfdbbacked Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa547…9e0dbacked Over | 46c | 22.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 52c | 22.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8e…d0c3backed Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…bf58backed Over | 46c | 21.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 68c | 20.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7362…139bbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…714cbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Over | 75c | 17.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5this page
- Bruins vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.