NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5801a78b00e5989a34ac8502cd01d550a2eeb1803382971b7ea4c5dca9d756eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 75c | 1,092$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.5 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 25c | 1,068$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.55 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 53c | 489.44$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.29 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 465.36$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.22 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 433.05$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.3 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Over | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 40c | 227.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 204$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc56…b1b7backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 60c | 166.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 59c | 150.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 122.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 93.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 59c | 69.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 42c | 61.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 60c | 60.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 42c | 59.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 28c | 57.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 59c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…2488backed Under | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 40c | 37.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Under | 32c | 34.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Over | 60c | 28.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 60c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5this page
- Bruins vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.