College Football · resolved market
UTSA vs. Texas A&M
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27df79414b9b99df693819995dd223567a28600ed9a686b1540705e34e3fc9ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&Mof UTSA, Texas A&M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked UTSA | 7c | 3,361$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.28 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed UTSA | 16c | 2,125$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed UTSA | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…3a0dbacked UTSA | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed UTSA | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +600.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed UTSA | 2c | 757.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed UTSA | 7c | 599.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UTSA | 5c | 460$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UTSA | 5c | 427.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked UTSA | 6c | 412$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7b…6e6dbacked UTSA | 7c | 358.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed UTSA | 9c | 342$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed UTSA | 6c | 286.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked UTSA | 8c | 251.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked UTSA | 6c | 213.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed UTSA | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UTSA | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked UTSA | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked UTSA | 7c | 179$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed UTSA | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…7febbacked UTSA | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6696…57c5backed UTSA | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.