Cricket · resolved market
SA20: MI Cape Town vs Paarl Royals (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c35822c30b37d459b0a5f9b6150c3fcef3e6d2a09b67a8433582fbff324dd6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paarl Royalsof MI Cape Town, Paarl Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed MI Cape Town | 0c | 13,541$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MI Cape Town | 1c | 4,607$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eec…9adcbacked MI Cape Town | 14c | 4,245$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed MI Cape Town | 2c | 2,698$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked MI Cape Town | 34c | 2,690$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.93 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed MI Cape Town | 58c | 2,265$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.99 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed MI Cape Town | 30c | 2,045$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.45 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked MI Cape Town | 54c | 1,300$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed MI Cape Town | 53c | 1,239$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.55 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Paarl Royals | 47c | 774.89$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.69 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Paarl Royals | 38c | 678.76$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.7 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed MI Cape Town | 62c | 653.46$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda38…3cc7backed MI Cape Town | 22c | 621.18$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed MI Cape Town | 7c | 570.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked MI Cape Town | 6c | 523.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa0…833bbacked MI Cape Town | 63c | 500$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Paarl Royals | 48c | 499.57$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Paarl Royals | 45c | 450.01$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.01 | 103 | 16.5%17 W · 86 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed MI Cape Town | 63c | 378.2$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked MI Cape Town | 5c | 347.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Paarl Royals | 47c | 325.53$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.53 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Paarl Royals | 37c | 220$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…e4f7backed MI Cape Town | 56c | 200.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked MI Cape Town | 56c | 199.09$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…1167backed Paarl Royals | 44c | 172.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked MI Cape Town | 63c | 162.07$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Paarl Royals | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…9246backed Paarl Royals | 37c | 150$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +174.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed MI Cape Town | 52c | 110.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked Paarl Royals | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…9bd0backed MI Cape Town | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed Paarl Royals | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…3487backed MI Cape Town | 62c | 69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6315…5a08backed Paarl Royals | 43c | 46.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed Paarl Royals | 53c | 43.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked MI Cape Town | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Paarl Royals | 51c | 37.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed MI Cape Town | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…279bbacked MI Cape Town | 64c | 17.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SA20: MI Cape Town vs Paarl Royals (Game 1)this page
- SA20: MI Cape Town vs Paarl Royals (Game 1) - Completed match?Yes won
- SA20: MI Cape Town vs Paarl Royals (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?MI Cape Town won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.