Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Fairfield Stags vs. Niagara Purple Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x556cc97b9e43a32102b1c2af459ac5a4ee869a4910f839550febee292554d27d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fairfield Stagsof Fairfield Stags, Niagara Purple Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fairfield Stags | 71c | 974.62$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.16 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 38c | 503.12$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.19 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Fairfield Stags | 79c | 500.8$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 21c | 409.58$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Fairfield Stags | 61c | 347.1$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 39c | 323.1$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.01 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Fairfield Stags | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 15c | 183.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 21c | 128.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 21c | 112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 21c | 62.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 19c | 62.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 25c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fairfield Stags | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed Fairfield Stags | 60c | 33.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Fairfield Stags | 61c | 32.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Fairfield Stags | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 39c | 25.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Fairfield Stags | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fairfield Stags | 74c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fairfield Stags vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesthis page
- Fairfield Stags vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 136.5Over won
- Fairfield Stags vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 137.5Over won
- Fairfield Stags vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 138.5Over won
- Fairfield Stags vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 139.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.