Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x821316a13ba6399ccf5ea9eb873f78a82e91ac4c3b54a66b038c2b307a005e32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersof Sam Houston Bearkats, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 31c | 2,962$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.12 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 56c | 2,423$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.36 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 68c | 2,369$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.89 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 71c | 1,975$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.48 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 33c | 1,945$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 54c | 1,507$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.81 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 71c | 1,436$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 31c | 989.92$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.11 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 24c | 881.7$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.01 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 28c | 300$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 52c | 284.11$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 29c | 265$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 53c | 155.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 64c | 144.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 24c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 50c | 100.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 52c | 89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 33c | 81.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 71c | 77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200b…722ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…9e8dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 63c | 34.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 72c | 25.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersthis page
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: O/U 156.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.