TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof Spirit, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,906 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67b6…00bcbacked TheMongolz58c5,109$2,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.9728538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Spirit47c3,168$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49512449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed TheMongolz59c2,975$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.5813937.4%52 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda17…abc5backed Spirit42c2,802$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.259353.8%50 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Spirit40c2,017$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Spirit41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8209343%40 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz70c1,409$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.51,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spirit43c1,368$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.62,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Spirit40c1,255$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.846450%32 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked TheMongolz60c1,178$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.5735242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit44c1,142$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Spirit40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40024134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Spirit1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spirit11c937.04$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.193,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed TheMongolz57c917.63$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.8346243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed TheMongolz54c844.16$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.3113545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed TheMongolz60c722.4$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.111247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed TheMongolz58c620$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.424846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Spirit43c581.51$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010250%51 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed TheMongolz61c574.94$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9432653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Spirit39c573.9$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.1816935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked TheMongolz60c500.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.668324.1%20 W · 63 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Spirit44c442.21$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1953951.3%20 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed TheMongolz60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.672965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb03a…ceddbacked Spirit41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1645442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbea…8e58backed Spirit41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9700…798fbacked TheMongolz70c356.53$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1612852.3%67 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed TheMongolz61c325.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8136450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Spirit42c317.88$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13539157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Spirit41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12318657%106 W · 80 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Spirit42c293.33$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.298052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c9…54b0backed Spirit43c279.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked TheMongolz60c276.67$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6725045.2%113 W · 137 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Spirit39c274.95$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.236861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed Spirit41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.614151.8%73 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Spirit43c233.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007255.6%40 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Spirit48c223$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6910438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21fb…fd64backed Spirit45c221.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001520%3 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed TheMongolz60c211.95$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9511834.7%41 W · 77 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Spirit42c204.21$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.881,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Spirit40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8025337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x417f…f97bbacked Spirit35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705133.3%17 W · 34 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Spirit42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8424451.2%125 W · 119 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Spirit39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e74…5972backed Spirit38c185.65$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.954238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed TheMongolz56c177$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5250947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked TheMongolz59c169.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.133953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked TheMongolz61c164.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8913553.3%72 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaccd…7402backed TheMongolz61c164.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.263447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed Spirit45c155.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7025446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked TheMongolz57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.513845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1217…96c6backed Spirit42c138.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TheMongolz56c126.58$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.51,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Spirit14c123$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.731,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa304…b075backed Spirit43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked TheMongolz52c102.22$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.41,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x060f…34c0backed Spirit42c101.45$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.611250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7244…b819backed TheMongolz60c100.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.214853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa889…ebcdbacked TheMongolz58c96.73$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7319256.8%109 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c91…c7ecbacked Spirit46c91.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.861729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Spirit41c89.88$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6736846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…6502backed TheMongolz62c88.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked TheMongolz55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked TheMongolz74c79$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4612946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Spirit41c78.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3415056%84 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Spirit42c72.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7912452.4%65 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c69…962ebacked Spirit42c72.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.423540%14 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed Spirit46c70.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.284245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6055…c9dcbacked Spirit32c62.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.883450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Spirit42c61.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.839237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed TheMongolz58c60.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2850340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Spirit41c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.412856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…55dfbacked Spirit26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd36…873bbacked TheMongolz52c57.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5424648.8%120 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed Spirit45c51.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322651.3%116 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Spirit41c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.546447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked TheMongolz57c46.74$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.044942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed Spirit45c46.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9224055.8%134 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1b4…c865backed Spirit44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5349…a09dbacked Spirit42c45.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.15425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-59.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed Spirit40c40.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.117842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Spirit35c37.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.142,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed TheMongolz65c37.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1221263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcad9…47e5backed TheMongolz60c36.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.671764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed TheMongolz60c33.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5726564.2%170 W · 95 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3335…f6debacked TheMongolz60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3315770.1%110 W · 47 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4863…dfa4backed Spirit46c32.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515151%77 W · 74 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed TheMongolz58c29.89$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4752755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa538…1ee9backed Spirit41c29.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52cd…85fbbacked Spirit43c26.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2636541.9%153 W · 212 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b41…b346backed TheMongolz59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef1…9170backed Spirit42c25.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Spirit44c24.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8431735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Spirit43c23.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.136246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked TheMongolz53c21.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.