TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,293 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked Under53c13,496$7,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,362.2883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Over49c10,018$4,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,908.043135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under51c5,343$2,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.072462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over48c2,098$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Under51c1,570$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.1619643.4%85 W · 111 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c1,331$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.611,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c1,213$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.073,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49022045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Under51c904.45$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.1810841.7%45 W · 63 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under37c817.82$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.183,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over49c783.34$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.8424846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Under51c777$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.748752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34334943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…aa06backed Over58c699.97$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.984645.7%21 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…b4a7backed Under51c534.71$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over49c509.31$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24996545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d1…4242backed Over52c472$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.742937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under51c469.07$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8328549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9c4…0425backed Over48c414.9$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc97…2811backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004450%22 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Over54c408.06$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.271,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Over47c384.66$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7121246.2%98 W · 114 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9700…798fbacked Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012852.3%67 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29df…6b6abacked Over52c270.85$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c213.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9945639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013553.3%72 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba10…bf97backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021644.4%96 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under54c203.27$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.741,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7822447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Under52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1615756.1%88 W · 69 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed Under52c163.14$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.316654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over50c149.6$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.831735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over65c147.69$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.671,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked Under47c103.19$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.695641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013748.9%67 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under19c101$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.291,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4925251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5010…3bdabacked Over52c96.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505048%24 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over48c90.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2781246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Over76c89.38$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.567939.2%31 W · 48 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over45c79.55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3648943.6%213 W · 276 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under79c78.5$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4812469.4%86 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb391…49e7backed Over46c70.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.292937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7cd…ef38backed Over49c67.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.183141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7242…5ff6backed Over60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402050%10 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed Over53c59.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0215851.9%82 W · 76 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.826855.9%38 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Under55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+57%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over42c54.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9167041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over26c52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5222324.7%55 W · 168 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over61c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.711,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7178…8fb9backed Over49c47.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.276454.7%35 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef40…b116backed Over49c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.541866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under56c43.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1611646.6%54 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207342.5%31 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd7c…79a0backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201850%9 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8032…ba33backed Over58c41.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013158.8%77 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.834742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1872…bcabbacked Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.225052%26 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcbd…0137backed Over47c36.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.03837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Under47c35.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.973050%15 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under48c35.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5917745.8%81 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under51c34.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8619350.3%97 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba0…679fbacked Over47c34.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x748f…4a84backed Over51c33.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea89…476abacked Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012248.4%59 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x447d…ba9cbacked Over55c32.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe619…55dfbacked Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa36a…1360backed Under38c31.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.382638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Under58c31.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.216246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.195642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.116448.8%80 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c29.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.392,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Over43c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4746447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f788backed Under50c27.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.816338.7%63 W · 100 L-13.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ff2…cf14backed Under44c23.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.046457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5be2…8fa3backed Over55c21.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221762.7%136 W · 81 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad64…9e67backed Under47c21.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e9…910bbacked Over57c20.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bf…dc9ebacked Over64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.84665.2%30 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa870…9f19backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f07…57cabacked Over54c18.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10a0…e54dbacked Under53c18.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.871369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5011…6237backed Over57c17.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.083855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed Over62c16.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0828761.3%176 W · 111 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa58c…56e3backed Over71c15.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2833869.8%236 W · 102 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddde…0e06backed Over68c14.77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed Over72c13.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0741372.2%298 W · 115 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.