Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31cc85ba04d7ed21a4e3d033f0fbb2cde954c784a097acadb6bc24f7dd1d2025
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,300 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 62c | 13,876$8,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,602.87 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 2,200$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.61 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 38c | 2,081$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.51 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 18c | 868.52$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 62c | 484$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.08 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 461.39$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 15c | 424.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 222.47$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.93 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked No | 38c | 94.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 37c | 82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 38c | 69.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 49c | 66.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a9a2backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 61c | 58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 38c | 49.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 45c | 47.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 58c | 45.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 51c | 39.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 62c | 39.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 59c | 37.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 59c | 33.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…bca4backed No | 61c | 32.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked No | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 51c | 26.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed No | 63c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked No | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will PEC Zwolle vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.