Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Francisco Comesana vs Valentin Royer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaac8e2d27816d4b35614cfd1bf572f4d5841b4a1e72859682e8c09e5f916907
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Comesanaof Comesana, Royer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Royer | 56c | 6,063$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.62 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Comesana | 78c | 2,430$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.92 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Comesana | 44c | 1,431$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.36 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Royer | 57c | 1,351$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.06 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Comesana | 43c | 1,220$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.45 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Comesana | 61c | 856.58$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.78 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked Comesana | 44c | 787.29$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Royer | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Royer | 55c | 699.99$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Comesana | 45c | 697.77$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.77 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Comesana | 44c | 690.25$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.54 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Comesana | 44c | 626.71$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Comesana | 44c | 497$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.32 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Comesana | 54c | 453.57$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.2 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Royer | 56c | 437.86$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.2 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Royer | 31c | 429.54$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.28 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Comesana | 43c | 426.51$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Comesana | 43c | 424$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.68 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Comesana | 70c | 405.55$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.47 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Comesana | 45c | 355.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Royer | 56c | 354.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Royer | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Comesana | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royer | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Royer | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Royer | 5c | 272.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Royer | 11c | 263$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Comesana | 44c | 249.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Comesana | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Comesana | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Comesana | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Royer | 57c | 174.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Royer | 56c | 166.52$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Comesana | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Royer | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Royer | 19c | 84.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Royer | 21c | 73.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Royer | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Comesana | 45c | 53.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed Comesana | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Comesana | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Comesana | 48c | 40.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Royer | 53c | 39.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Comesana | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Royer | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Comesana | 46c | 32.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Royer | 58c | 30.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Royer | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Comesana | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Comesana | 43c | 28.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Francisco Comesana vs Valentin Royerthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Comesana vs RoyerComesana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.