TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Northeastern Huskies vs. Elon Phoenix

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Elon Phoenixof Northeastern Huskies, Elon Phoenix
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed Elon Phoenix77c3,094$2,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.133,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Northeastern Huskies24c2,918$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.681,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Northeastern Huskies21c1,932$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.85,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Elon Phoenix78c818$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.211,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Northeastern Huskies26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13023158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Elon Phoenix77c481.86$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.721,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Elon Phoenix71c473.9$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.645,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Elon Phoenix69c293$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.752,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Elon Phoenix78c270$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.652,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Northeastern Huskies29c210.81$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.943,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Elon Phoenix80c200$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4136845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Elon Phoenix75c177.89$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.54,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Northeastern Huskies33c152.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Northeastern Huskies28c131$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.681,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Elon Phoenix66c130$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.255657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Northeastern Huskies32c99.47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Elon Phoenix74c92$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8773549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Northeastern Huskies33c91.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.121535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northeastern Huskies23c85.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.911,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Elon Phoenix79c71.86$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.881,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Elon Phoenix72c54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Elon Phoenix74c33.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.93944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.