Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa21ff96f8d3e1707f360610c5fcb96f24d929e71039313ef19c8a767397c6684
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsof Norfolk State Spartans, Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 5c | 8,356$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.13 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Norfolk State Spartans | 2c | 8,000$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 75c | 755.55$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.44 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Norfolk State Spartans | 41c | 552$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.88 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 59c | 446.77$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Norfolk State Spartans | 44c | 227.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 70c | 206.19$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 14c | 152.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Norfolk State Spartans | 44c | 138$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 57c | 122$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 57c | 119$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Norfolk State Spartans | 21c | 108.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 53c | 105.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 56c | 100.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Norfolk State Spartans | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 56c | 77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 27c | 64.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 56c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Norfolk State Spartans | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Norfolk State Spartans | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Norfolk State Spartans | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…bf0abacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 58c | 34.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Norfolk State Spartans | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Norfolk State Spartans | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 53c | 25.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 78c | 14.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsthis page
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns: O/U 125.5Under won
- Norfolk State Spartans vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns: O/U 127.5Under won
- Spread: Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (-2.5)Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.