TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,956 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0352…3292backed Cavaliers53c12,733$6,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,020.6410158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns46c5,005$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.256,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Cavaliers52c4,002$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Suns51c3,961$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns47c3,887$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.734,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns42c3,696$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Cavaliers54c3,343$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.5814356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4702,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dac…4a66backed Cavaliers51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers49c2,335$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.814,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns48c2,191$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Suns48c2,165$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0393148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Suns39c2,062$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.0726753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers51c2,011$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.493,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Suns48c2,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95044654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Suns50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016442.1%69 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Cavaliers65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers56c1,622$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.872,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Suns48c1,580$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.3950653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Suns46c1,500$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69558740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Suns48c1,396$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.0436351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Cavaliers56c1,050$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46247651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Suns49c1,002$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Suns46c1,000$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.211,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers51c885$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.651,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Suns47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Suns47c787.23$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37043453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9eb…ae0ebacked Suns47c646.81$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Cavaliers52c390.09$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.942,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Suns52c373.66$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3150347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x964c…0a17backed Cavaliers56c358.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.047237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Suns48c314.93$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Suns48c300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Cavaliers52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7722953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Suns45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018343.7%80 W · 103 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb51…733cbacked Suns45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011542.6%49 W · 66 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Cavaliers54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929162.6%57 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Cavaliers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9623748.1%114 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Suns46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Suns48c167$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.533,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Suns46c107.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.512648.4%61 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Suns47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4795548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Suns45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4589050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Suns46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4662848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Suns45c97$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.653145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Cavaliers56c89.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8861056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Suns45c79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.557451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Suns48c78.75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.442,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Suns45c77.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3537755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers54c75.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.821,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Suns47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3533442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Suns45c69.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5893849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Suns47c66.23$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1348451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45fb…1289backed Suns46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Suns47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f10…ef9abacked Suns45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57935.4%28 W · 51 L-10.1wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked Suns45c49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.053348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Suns47c47.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2250948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Cavaliers55c45.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.414445.8%66 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Cavaliers55c44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.850648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Suns50c42.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1824955%137 W · 112 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac7…597ebacked Cavaliers54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.046552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Cavaliers52c35.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8365950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Suns46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.641,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e4…0369backed Suns46c32.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156445.3%29 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Cavaliers54c31.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4815253.3%81 W · 71 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cavaliers50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Suns47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1488845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Suns45c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.058050%40 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581b…f083backed Suns47c27.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.084257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Suns45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.737949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Suns44c24.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.835339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d49…c438backed Cavaliers55c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82832.1%9 W · 19 L-6.0wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-42.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Suns47c21.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.051,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bf2…6640backed Cavaliers55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Suns50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffcf…ec0ebacked Suns50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Cavaliers55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95164.7%33 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked Cavaliers51c19.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aeb…83e4backed Cavaliers56c19.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.