NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb14ebe7c069cff4e1ec7e7ce916a7ae8552b813bf6fa6365dafa61c2396c6295
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $640,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $640,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $640,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Cavaliers | 53c | 590,653$312,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278,344.26 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Suns | 47c | 500,000$235,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235,000 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Suns | 48c | 24,472$11,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,741.38 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 47c | 20,130$9,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,561.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 50c | 10,000$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Suns | 49c | 8,801$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.99 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 48c | 8,551$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,089.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Suns | 48c | 4,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Suns | 48c | 2,916$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.68 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Suns | 54c | 2,900$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Suns | 40c | 2,062$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.73 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Suns | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 1,898$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.54 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Suns | 48c | 1,638$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.64 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,558$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.26 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Suns | 50c | 1,444$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Suns | 38c | 1,269$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.69 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Suns | 53c | 1,219$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.07 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Suns | 50c | 1,171$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Suns | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.9 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Suns | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.3 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Suns | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Suns | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Suns | 47c | 998.57$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.33 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Cavaliers | 52c | 925.96$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.46 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 54c | 833.62$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.64 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns | 45c | 831.09$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.99 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Suns | 48c | 827.74$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.34 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Cavaliers | 57c | 654.81$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.57 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Suns | 53c | 641.17$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.82 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Suns | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 61c | 564.46$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Cavaliers | 53c | 537.74$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.74 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Suns | 50c | 442.86$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Suns | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Cavaliers | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 51c | 371.04$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.23 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cavaliers | 62c | 337.2$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.93 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Suns | 49c | 327.01$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Suns | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Suns | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Cavaliers | 59c | 300$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Suns | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Suns | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 281.85$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Suns | 32c | 256.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09bf…e2c5backed Suns | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers | 51c | 236$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.85 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 50c | 212.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Cavaliers | 71c | 212$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Suns | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…74cfbacked Suns | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Suns | 50c | 198.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Suns | 47c | 162.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Suns | 51c | 146.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Suns | 49c | 136$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Cavaliers | 52c | 134.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Suns | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Cavaliers | 47c | 119.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cavaliers | 60c | 119.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Suns | 30c | 119.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Suns | 41c | 118.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Cavaliers | 49c | 116.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Cavaliers | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Suns | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Suns | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Cavaliers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cavaliers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Suns | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Suns | 48c | 98.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 95.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed Suns | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Suns | 48c | 89.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 51c | 71.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Suns | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Suns | 48c | 60.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Suns | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Suns | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Suns | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Suns | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…f7ffbacked Suns | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers | 47c | 49.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Cavaliers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Suns | 47c | 46.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Suns | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Suns | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Suns | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Suns | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Cavaliers | 52c | 30.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Suns | 49c | 30.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…6c7ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Cavaliers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)this page
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Suns vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Suns vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Suns vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Suns vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Suns vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Suns vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Suns vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Suns vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.