Euroleague · resolved market
Olimpia Milano vs. Anadolu Efes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c0b6dccd33c4b048d354cf5a2b7d68abe02efd5abde424343c06553d058a212
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olimpia Milanoof Olimpia Milano, Anadolu Efes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Anadolu Efes | 32c | 18,000$5,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,695.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Olimpia Milano | 69c | 11,039$7,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Olimpia Milano | 73c | 3,596$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.5 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Olimpia Milano | 67c | 2,359$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.13 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 2,280$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.79 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olimpia Milano | 58c | 1,732$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.71 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olimpia Milano | 70c | 1,705$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.07 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Anadolu Efes | 30c | 1,654$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.48 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Anadolu Efes | 33c | 1,537$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Olimpia Milano | 60c | 1,430$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Olimpia Milano | 66c | 1,176$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.15 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Olimpia Milano | 71c | 1,088$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.87 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Anadolu Efes | 7c | 906.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Anadolu Efes | 31c | 720.93$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.48 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Anadolu Efes | 35c | 692$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.73 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Anadolu Efes | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Olimpia Milano | 67c | 535$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.37 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Anadolu Efes | 47c | 443$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.36 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Anadolu Efes | 29c | 431$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Olimpia Milano | 61c | 413.38$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.81 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Olimpia Milano | 44c | 408.53$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Anadolu Efes | 39c | 394.44$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cb…c61ebacked Olimpia Milano | 49c | 352.22$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Olimpia Milano | 71c | 302.77$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Anadolu Efes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.85 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Olimpia Milano | 67c | 299.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed Anadolu Efes | 39c | 282.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Anadolu Efes | 45c | 228.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Anadolu Efes | 32c | 201.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 200.4$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Olimpia Milano | 55c | 181.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…7148backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 174.28$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Anadolu Efes | 29c | 170.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Olimpia Milano | 69c | 163.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Anadolu Efes | 28c | 160.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Anadolu Efes | 29c | 137$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b4…a506backed Anadolu Efes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Anadolu Efes | 46c | 127.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Anadolu Efes | 29c | 113.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Anadolu Efes | 59c | 107.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Olimpia Milano | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Olimpia Milano | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…642dbacked Anadolu Efes | 32c | 95.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Olimpia Milano | 51c | 92.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Olimpia Milano | 69c | 92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…5b12backed Olimpia Milano | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…3ab5backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 89.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Olimpia Milano | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Anadolu Efes | 30c | 73.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Anadolu Efes | 19c | 73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Olimpia Milano | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Olimpia Milano | 54c | 65.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Anadolu Efes | 32c | 62.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Olimpia Milano | 68c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Anadolu Efes | 26c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Olimpia Milano | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Anadolu Efes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Olimpia Milano | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Olimpia Milano | 55c | 43.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Olimpia Milano | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Olimpia Milano | 57c | 40.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Anadolu Efes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…a32cbacked Olimpia Milano | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…0fe3backed Olimpia Milano | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Olimpia Milano | 58c | 35.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Olimpia Milano | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Olimpia Milano | 43c | 30.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3e…1543backed Olimpia Milano | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Anadolu Efes | 50c | 26.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 23.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Olimpia Milano | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Anadolu Efes | 57c | 18.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.