Other European Leagues · resolved market
Casa Pia AC vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafa9cd1c1ac93bbe96e5d0d296d091519f157c63d41bcde5eaff0d530f299249
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 2,364$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 31c | 1,566$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.37 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 79c | 970.49$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.8 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 31c | 584.87$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.18 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 31c | 119.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 65c | 97.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 65c | 90.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 86.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 35c | 86.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 36c | 83.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 61c | 71.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Under | 36c | 66.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 65.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 73c | 38.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Over | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 79c | 16.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Casa Pia AC vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5this page
- Casa Pia AC vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Casa Pia AC vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 3.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)Casa Pia AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.