Other European Leagues · resolved market
Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8e3f0aa302bd250debd5bc8f37dc9d1b2ed34760b1d83e955afe6fa0d9c5b4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,940 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 6,591$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 35c | 4,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 54c | 1,847$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 1,841$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.68 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.95 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 60c | 496.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 62c | 484.62$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.62 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 43c | 400$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…a4cdbacked Over | 65c | 380.91$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 55c | 361.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 316.29$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…20e7backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 45c | 192.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Over | 68c | 160.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 38c | 122.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 95.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 69c | 72.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…01ffbacked Over | 65c | 60.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.7wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -66%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 55.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 66c | 52.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 51c | 49.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 38.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Under | 51c | 36.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 74c | 33.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dundee United FC (-1.5)Dundee United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.