Other European Leagues · resolved market
Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb325b8ef23db35020722cd7a751e08cbcdec765b6720dacaa8d07ac5b0667070
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,726 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 6,096$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.26 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 15c | 1,640$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 56c | 893.75$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.25 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 616.37$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 493.24$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.96 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 67c | 377.78$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.78 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…1ec9backed Over | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 67c | 297.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92a8…9a69backed Over | 78c | 277.47$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…c3a4backed Under | 22c | 277.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 7c | 253.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…1ac1backed Over | 78c | 245.83$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1409…ffb3backed Under | 22c | 245.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa552…775bbacked Over | 79c | 187.09$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…0f1dbacked Under | 21c | 187.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 75c | 180$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…01ffbacked Over | 74c | 139.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.7wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -66%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 43c | 114.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Under | 19c | 98.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 16c | 89.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 15c | 79.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 55c | 74.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 26c | 73.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 55c | 66.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Under | 21c | 64.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Over | 79c | 60.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 46c | 49.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 79c | 29.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e8d0backed Under | 47c | 21.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3c70backed Over | 74c | 16.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dundee United FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dundee United FC (-1.5)Dundee United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.