South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Tijuana vs. CF América end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2d4c46b2a2c8ec04004c8503067ba2cc1657a54999f820ac22ad1956b004d37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 1,016$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.65 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 521.62$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.4 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 39c | 429$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.11 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Yes | 50c | 396.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 363.63$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.08 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 26c | 340$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 70c | 322.58$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 74c | 199.27$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3079…7b77backed Yes | 44c | 113.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 77c | 99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 78cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked No | 74c | 95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed No | 74c | 62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 26c | 58.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Yes | 27c | 48.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…e0f5backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked No | 48c | 36.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f50…d342backed No | 39c | 27.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed No | 75c | 20.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc9…9229backed No | 74c | 20.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 16.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…7e93backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Tijuana vs. CF América end in a draw?this page
- Will CF América win on 2026-01-09?No won
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.