Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sweden beat Slovakia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb2660cd02c01874b0ce0eeca9a620435f4cbbc26685c9d9140d8f685d801307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 39c | 1,508$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 33c | 1,323$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.13 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes | 64c | 1,304$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 41c | 1,158$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.25 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 61c | 1,038$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.98 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 39c | 599.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Yes | 59c | 547.44$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 60c | 488.34$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.35 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 61c | 476$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 42c | 348.75$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…f190backed Yes | 64c | 314.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…9d2fbacked Yes | 65c | 262.08$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd7…547dbacked Yes | 64c | 241.81$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 42c | 214.54$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9937…6202backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 59c | 183$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 57c | 174.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…87f9backed Yes | 64c | 159.55$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 13c | 125.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 65c | 101$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 35c | 101$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…730bbacked Yes | 59c | 66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 40c | 63.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…259cbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Yes | 58c | 33.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…22d9backed Yes | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…1ae0backed Yes | 59c | 17.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sweden beat Slovakia?this page
- Will Slovakia beat Sweden?No won
- Will the match between Sweden and Slovakia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.