Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Varvara Gracheva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e3a76aeda27a9d01cd2899bf4cc26aee6d33b6f3f612801912d9cacf2cc4f71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grachevaof Cocciaretto, Gracheva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Cocciaretto | 53c | 5,983$3,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.32 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gracheva | 67c | 1,561$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.04 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Gracheva | 45c | 1,289$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.15 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Cocciaretto | 31c | 1,190$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gracheva | 70c | 1,154$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.55 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Gracheva | 49c | 1,149$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.36 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Cocciaretto | 43c | 1,100$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.93 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gracheva | 52c | 1,083$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.76 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gracheva | 58c | 898.87$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Cocciaretto | 31c | 847.92$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Gracheva | 45c | 784.72$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.6 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…d186backed Cocciaretto | 33c | 609.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Gracheva | 50c | 585.78$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.89 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Cocciaretto | 52c | 471.12$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.45 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Cocciaretto | 50c | 470$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Gracheva | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Gracheva | 52c | 380$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Cocciaretto | 7c | 313.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Cocciaretto | 33c | 307.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Gracheva | 61c | 281.16$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cocciaretto | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cocciaretto | 49c | 250$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6c…e91fbacked Gracheva | 47c | 238$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…14fdbacked Gracheva | 48c | 235$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae8…e313backed Cocciaretto | 53c | 233$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…f25abacked Cocciaretto | 52c | 230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa812…84d4backed Cocciaretto | 53c | 228$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…fd3ebacked Cocciaretto | 52c | 225$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2959…2117backed Gracheva | 47c | 223$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Gracheva | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf22…3c3fbacked Gracheva | 48c | 220$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Gracheva | 49c | 205.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.82 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Gracheva | 53c | 205$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Gracheva | 50c | 204.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Cocciaretto | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cocciaretto | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4090…3e81backed Gracheva | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Gracheva | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Gracheva | 73c | 169.86$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gracheva | 65c | 159.29$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…3236backed Gracheva | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Cocciaretto | 50c | 131.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Gracheva | 71c | 121.53$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Gracheva | 48c | 104.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Gracheva | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cocciaretto | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Cocciaretto | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1531…f303backed Cocciaretto | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Cocciaretto | 31c | 89.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gracheva | 48c | 69.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…b9a6backed Cocciaretto | 50c | 68.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Gracheva | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c89…2db9backed Cocciaretto | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Cocciaretto | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x289d…ed57backed Cocciaretto | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cocciaretto | 47c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…8f65backed Gracheva | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…09d6backed Gracheva | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Gracheva | 68c | 44.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Gracheva | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Gracheva | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…bf60backed Gracheva | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Gracheva | 46c | 38.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Cocciaretto | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Gracheva | 73c | 33.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 168 | 70.8%119 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gracheva | 72c | 29.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed Gracheva | 51c | 26.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e4…98f5backed Gracheva | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Gracheva | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Gracheva | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3e…41c9backed Gracheva | 71c | 21.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…2374backed Cocciaretto | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad7…63a8backed Cocciaretto | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.