Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Alycia Parks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa473842d55b2d7663077fe68ed78f62b882fc30eb11fcaadae6bd3fe5791563
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Parksof Sierra, Parks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Parks | 66c | 3,720$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Parks | 72c | 2,974$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.29 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sierra | 29c | 2,772$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.56 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Sierra | 29c | 2,681$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.67 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Parks | 63c | 2,561$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.74 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Parks | 56c | 1,168$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.01 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Sierra | 38c | 1,103$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Sierra | 41c | 1,078$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.98 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Sierra | 45c | 1,030$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.8 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sierra | 27c | 976.8$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.29 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Parks | 60c | 947.16$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.46 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Parks | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Sierra | 37c | 918.67$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.19 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Parks | 62c | 645.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.32 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4db…cb61backed Parks | 64c | 431.59$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.37 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Parks | 58c | 314.74$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.74 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Parks | 62c | 308.62$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sierra | 34c | 300$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Parks | 66c | 292.49$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Sierra | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Parks | 56c | 258$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.59 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Sierra | 34c | 255$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Sierra | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sierra | 42c | 242$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Sierra | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…4cd4backed Sierra | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Sierra | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sierra | 30c | 185.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Sierra | 41c | 182.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sierra | 29c | 176.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…93aebacked Sierra | 39c | 176.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Sierra | 52c | 163.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Sierra | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Parks | 53c | 131$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Parks | 62c | 114.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Sierra | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Sierra | 30c | 101$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Parks | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed Sierra | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Sierra | 27c | 90.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Parks | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sierra | 42c | 82.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Sierra | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Sierra | 27c | 75.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed Parks | 57c | 72.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Sierra | 44c | 72.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…8f65backed Sierra | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Parks | 60c | 66.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sierra | 30c | 64.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…2149backed Sierra | 24c | 62.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sierra | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…ef61backed Parks | 63c | 51.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Parks | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Sierra | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Sierra | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…4fcabacked Parks | 57c | 40.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Parks | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…2d88backed Parks | 80c | 38.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Parks | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…bf60backed Parks | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sierra | 39c | 34.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Parks | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Parks | 65c | 30.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…f58dbacked Sierra | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Parks | 67c | 23.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Parks | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…299bbacked Parks | 66c | 22.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +145.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Parks | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Parks | 54c | 20.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Parks | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Parks | 77c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Parks | 70c | 14.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.