TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Longwood Lancers vs. USC Upstate Spartans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
USC Upstate Spartansof Longwood Lancers, USC Upstate Spartans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$183,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked USC Upstate Spartans50c146,434$72,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,809.7789645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Longwood Lancers51c100,000$50,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,50030249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Longwood Lancers50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00013649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Longwood Lancers50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Longwood Lancers49c7,169$3,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,505.3874051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked USC Upstate Spartans54c5,568$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,588.535,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Longwood Lancers51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04014647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Longwood Lancers55c3,662$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00018548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22c…9c02backed Longwood Lancers41c3,506$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.571957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Longwood Lancers50c2,649$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.43,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed USC Upstate Spartans59c2,261$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.991,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437b…fab1backed Longwood Lancers41c2,261$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed USC Upstate Spartans45c2,225$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.962,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Longwood Lancers5c2,148$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010126.7%27 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked USC Upstate Spartans52c2,119$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.841,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked USC Upstate Spartans59c1,934$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.035759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Longwood Lancers51c1,462$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.52,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Longwood Lancers46c1,266$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.178843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Longwood Lancers48c1,260$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.3412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed USC Upstate Spartans59c1,202$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.051,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Longwood Lancers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Longwood Lancers51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5107337%27 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Longwood Lancers22c948.96$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.31,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02e…8fb2backed USC Upstate Spartans59c627$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed USC Upstate Spartans47c572.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.192,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Longwood Lancers50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Longwood Lancers44c468.76$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.431,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Longwood Lancers49c431.54$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.8774649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Longwood Lancers49c410$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.338343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Longwood Lancers45c397.69$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.622,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Longwood Lancers42c337.43$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7225946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed USC Upstate Spartans57c327.63$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.922,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Longwood Lancers36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Longwood Lancers53c225.45$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed USC Upstate Spartans51c224.61$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0658345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed USC Upstate Spartans49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0813052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Longwood Lancers47c159.1$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.894,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed USC Upstate Spartans56c158.77$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.141,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd682…1ae2backed Longwood Lancers10c149.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15267.7%2 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-79.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed USC Upstate Spartans67c127.16$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.531,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Longwood Lancers57c104.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Longwood Lancers48c104.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked USC Upstate Spartans59c104.29$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.291154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b71…9fcdbacked USC Upstate Spartans55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-43.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Longwood Lancers44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed USC Upstate Spartans38c96$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.57844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed USC Upstate Spartans57c89.51$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.498055%44 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Longwood Lancers46c86.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9144549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe30c…3f38backed USC Upstate Spartans59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Longwood Lancers43c83.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3693447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed USC Upstate Spartans56c81.64$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6799045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa918…8d4bbacked USC Upstate Spartans61c80.4$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Longwood Lancers59c73.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3594036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed USC Upstate Spartans67c68.03$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Longwood Lancers37c67.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1866831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed USC Upstate Spartans49c67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.175,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Longwood Lancers39c64.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.261,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Longwood Lancers44c58.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.852,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed Longwood Lancers52c57.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Longwood Lancers52c57.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.841,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Longwood Lancers51c49.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ed…86ddbacked Longwood Lancers49c45.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed USC Upstate Spartans52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.426848.1%129 W · 139 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x583b…9249backed Longwood Lancers47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed Longwood Lancers53c38.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.45952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Longwood Lancers51c37.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1819653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed USC Upstate Spartans49c37.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.121535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Longwood Lancers42c34.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4537835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Longwood Lancers45c30.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9518147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeca…8c27backed Longwood Lancers53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.99037.8%34 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked USC Upstate Spartans53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.336248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x857a…bcbbbacked USC Upstate Spartans61c19.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.67580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+41.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked USC Upstate Spartans58c18.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.624,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Longwood Lancers60c17.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.352,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.