Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8251b6b3286e05babe9b7b62ae9606e0e93bb6db8fc57c60bd73f353f51e1b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 52c | 22,553$11,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,647.55 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 48c | 9,797$4,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,094.31 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 50c | 6,767$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.5 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 5,454$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.51 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 4,557$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 4,234$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.65 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 48c | 3,175$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 52c | 1,369$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.95 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 879$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.08 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 48c | 770.83$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.83 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 53c | 405.66$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 48c | 396.98$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.43 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 53c | 218.63$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 52c | 217.67$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 48c | 161.58$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 112$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 53c | 68.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 49c | 49.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…9249backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 49c | 27.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 25.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…49c4backed Over | 53c | 21.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 167.5this page
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis BillikensSaint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-9.5)George Washington Revolutionaries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.