Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc800bb4bdf72b650c4b140b87f75e61d8fbab0f1bbe1967babc73bb8818ff4f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- George Washington Revolutionariesof Saint Louis Billikens, George Washington Revolutionaries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 3,459$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.59 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 51c | 2,172$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.76 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 54c | 1,867$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Saint Louis Billikens | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.31 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 564.71$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 397$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.53 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 313.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 52c | 155.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 52c | 81.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 78.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 49c | 61.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ba…2a2fbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 52c | 40.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 52c | 32.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 47c | 31.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Saint Louis Billikens | 53c | 28.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 49c | 21.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3174…b136backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-9.5)this page
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis BillikensSaint Louis Billikens won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 167.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.