George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb740c90e9f40c2b4922a5f0ed5830627a58cf25ba10e32ce22c3ddde38784020

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Saint Louis Billikensof George Washington Revolutionaries, Saint Louis Billikens
Resolved: Jan 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $80,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $92,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,837 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x507e…beaebacked George Washington Revolutionaries	36c	12,367$4,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,492	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d97…f263backed Saint Louis Billikens	45c	9,112$4,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,035.1	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed George Washington Revolutionaries	20c	5,610$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,121.96	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed George Washington Revolutionaries	16c	4,901$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.17	301	39.2%118 W · 183 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Saint Louis Billikens	41c	3,042$1,253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,789.13	133	42.1%56 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	54c	2,366$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,267.41	1,058	55.8%590 W · 468 L	+34.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed George Washington Revolutionaries	24c	1,799$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.78	88	17%15 W · 73 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd451…8f37backed George Washington Revolutionaries	43c	1,734$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.88	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Saint Louis Billikens	57c	1,419$810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609.28	1,887	45.2%853 W · 1,034 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	15c	1,204$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.6	2,687	48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Saint Louis Billikens	60c	919.05$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.09	1,531	50.1%767 W · 764 L	+34.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked George Washington Revolutionaries	37c	839.47$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.94	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed George Washington Revolutionaries	52c	804.6$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.71	2,555	41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Saint Louis Billikens	57c	791.04$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.22	1,493	48.7%727 W · 766 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed George Washington Revolutionaries	34c	659.78$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.08	940	36.9%347 W · 593 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	19c	647.63$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.05	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf3…8c56backed George Washington Revolutionaries	17c	595.34$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.21	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed George Washington Revolutionaries	56c	562.5$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.76	244	44.7%109 W · 135 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Saint Louis Billikens	73c	538.43$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.23	1,910	49.6%947 W · 963 L	+30.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	59c	508.47$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	181	67.4%122 W · 59 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Saint Louis Billikens	65c	499.99$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175	59	66.1%39 W · 20 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed George Washington Revolutionaries	47c	495.23$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.96	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…55f7backed Saint Louis Billikens	40c	477.5$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.5	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Saint Louis Billikens	29c	450$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.5	167	46.1%77 W · 90 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Saint Louis Billikens	72c	450$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.56	741	52.6%390 W · 351 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Saint Louis Billikens	72c	412$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.36	76	56.6%43 W · 33 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	64cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed George Washington Revolutionaries	30c	395.18$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.38	998	48.4%483 W · 515 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Saint Louis Billikens	55c	394.74$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.09	3,380	49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L	+30.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Saint Louis Billikens	54c	371.39$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.39	484	62.8%304 W · 180 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed George Washington Revolutionaries	18c	334.22$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.21	2,048	32.7%670 W · 1,378 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	16c	300$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	1,487	43%639 W · 848 L	+50.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed George Washington Revolutionaries	49c	262.88$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.17	383	43.6%167 W · 216 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked Saint Louis Billikens	79c	252.81$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.81	113	62.8%71 W · 42 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…699abacked George Washington Revolutionaries	62c	240.56$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed George Washington Revolutionaries	42c	227.96$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.82	125	37.6%47 W · 78 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Saint Louis Billikens	80c	225$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed George Washington Revolutionaries	52c	222.23$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.56	441	46.5%205 W · 236 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked George Washington Revolutionaries	39c	220$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc35…c471backed George Washington Revolutionaries	28c	210.75$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.01	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed George Washington Revolutionaries	15c	201.54$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.44	2,003	53.7%1,076 W · 927 L	+101.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Saint Louis Billikens	45c	199.94$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.97	253	25.3%64 W · 189 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Saint Louis Billikens	53c	182.18$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.01	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Saint Louis Billikens	37c	173.84$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.67	668	31.4%210 W · 458 L	-43.1wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-23%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	45c	165.72$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.62	459	53.8%247 W · 212 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed George Washington Revolutionaries	61c	164.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	230	28.3%65 W · 165 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed George Washington Revolutionaries	17c	163.66$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.58	1,633	47.3%773 W · 860 L	+25.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Saint Louis Billikens	44c	150$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	1,260	43.3%545 W · 715 L	+34.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed George Washington Revolutionaries	45c	148.4$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.53	1,985	64.1%1,273 W · 712 L	+144.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x793d…5a89backed Saint Louis Billikens	68c	147.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.89	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Saint Louis Billikens	42c	142.38$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.58	536	46.5%249 W · 287 L	-24.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Saint Louis Billikens	76c	142.38$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.17	2,012	50%1,006 W · 1,006 L	+22.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Saint Louis Billikens	65c	141.82$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.86	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Saint Louis Billikens	69c	140$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.57	722	48.8%352 W · 370 L	-23.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked George Washington Revolutionaries	30c	133.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-9.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed George Washington Revolutionaries	19c	126$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.94	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed George Washington Revolutionaries	16c	120$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	59	11.9%7 W · 52 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	19c	119$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.61	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed George Washington Revolutionaries	18c	110.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.88	583	45.5%265 W · 318 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,667	36.4%607 W · 1,060 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	70	17.1%12 W · 58 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked George Washington Revolutionaries	16c	99.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2,194	33.4%733 W · 1,461 L	+19.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Saint Louis Billikens	27c	93.78$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.74	1,983	26.4%523 W · 1,460 L	-55.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	44c	89.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.69	703	49.6%349 W · 354 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Saint Louis Billikens	47c	74.87$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.52	1,003	55.3%555 W · 448 L	+46.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed George Washington Revolutionaries	16c	74.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.72	215	35.3%76 W · 139 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Saint Louis Billikens	74c	72.69$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	41	68.3%28 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	73cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed George Washington Revolutionaries	15c	72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Saint Louis Billikens	69c	70$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	46	60.9%28 W · 18 L	+6.7wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x66ea…7560backed George Washington Revolutionaries	19c	69.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed George Washington Revolutionaries	19c	69.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.18	378	35.7%135 W · 243 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Saint Louis Billikens	45c	69$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.69	397	42.8%170 W · 227 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Saint Louis Billikens	66c	65.33$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.21	176	47.2%83 W · 93 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed George Washington Revolutionaries	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	101	26.7%27 W · 74 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	33c	48.3$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.03	91	34.1%31 W · 60 L	-9.6wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed George Washington Revolutionaries	58c	47.77$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.93	299	54.2%162 W · 137 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed George Washington Revolutionaries	58c	43.49$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.42	974	47.9%467 W · 507 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbae7…80fcbacked George Washington Revolutionaries	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Saint Louis Billikens	40c	39.98$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.99	365	35.9%131 W · 234 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked Saint Louis Billikens	67c	38.27$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.63	73	61.6%45 W · 28 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed Saint Louis Billikens	43c	34.88$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.88	143	39.9%57 W · 86 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Saint Louis Billikens	50c	34.82$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.41	92	64.1%59 W · 33 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Saint Louis Billikens	40c	34.45$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.83	356	50.8%181 W · 175 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed George Washington Revolutionaries	47c	33.53$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.92	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Saint Louis Billikens	67c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.25	1,951	45.1%880 W · 1,071 L	-19.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikensthis page
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 167.5Under won
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-9.5)George Washington Revolutionaries won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event