Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b69b26ba22815a15cb88bd0f5e504dd23d20ecd46d1b6745888e9e4df25c516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 9,799$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 24c | 1,242$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 64c | 630.25$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…36a2backed Yes | 34c | 596.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 28c | 497.45$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 71c | 490$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.7 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked No | 67c | 486.41$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.52 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 470.72$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.08 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 425.1$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 32c | 403.26$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.13 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 25c | 402.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 8c | 402.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 70c | 380.66$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.32 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 61c | 338.21$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.3 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 11c | 292.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 27c | 290.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 251.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 66c | 249.26$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 60c | 231.72$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 29c | 229.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 12c | 223.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…b458backed Yes | 54c | 218.02$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b6…4ad7backed No | 79c | 205.75$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 41c | 200.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 66c | 195.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 23c | 190.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 76c | 186.44$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 181.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 181$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 51c | 179.95$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 18c | 169.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 24c | 156.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Yes | 29c | 155.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 77c | 146.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d43…d78abacked Yes | 29c | 136.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…d114backed Yes | 38c | 135.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 78c | 132.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…80a0backed Yes | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 125.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 27c | 120.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 25c | 118.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 117.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 41c | 108.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 80c | 107.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 63c | 103.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…7fe2backed Yes | 32c | 92.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 24c | 91.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 67c | 91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 25c | 90.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 74c | 83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 79c | 81.91$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 71c | 77.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…fa45backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked Yes | 32c | 71.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed Yes | 28c | 66.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…1a22backed No | 78c | 63.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 97 | 83.5%81 W · 16 L | +26.5wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 71c | 63.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 70c | 62.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked Yes | 33c | 61.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed No | 66c | 59.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 71c | 59.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 25c | 59.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 33c | 58.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 68c | 57.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 72c | 55.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 32c | 54.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 69c | 53.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…aabfbacked Yes | 30c | 52.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 158 | 68.4%108 W · 50 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…bde5backed Yes | 28c | 51.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…1e65backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea4…4a77backed No | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 79c | 47.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 27c | 47.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f4…d093backed Yes | 34c | 44.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 150 | 32%48 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 67c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…02babacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed No | 67c | 37.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 161 | 29.2%47 W · 114 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 68c | 37.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 75c | 36.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 33.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 32c | 32.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 79c | 31.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 63c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 30.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…710bbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 53c | 28.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.