Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38df07d8d73f58a6cf493e724969015d750c6243c1ea8c225c13c5ed0b77786b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 4c | 1,644$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 7c | 1,488$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…36a2backed No | 69c | 579$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 37c | 474.36$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.62 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 447.1$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.29 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 15c | 434.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 53c | 411.75$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.13 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 15c | 409.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 79c | 406.58$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 5c | 399.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 4c | 321.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 315.76$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 30c | 315.7$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.65 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 29c | 297.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.21 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 38c | 272.35$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.65 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 61c | 268.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…8853backed Yes | 38c | 265.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.1 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 69c | 250.45$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.41 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 65c | 233$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 61c | 199.88$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.77 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 30c | 189.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 35c | 181.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 70c | 170.4$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 22c | 169.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 72c | 162.18$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 16c | 159.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 14c | 159.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 31c | 158.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.03 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418a…64c0backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 36c | 148.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.31 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa77e…aea7backed No | 62c | 139.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 35c | 130$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 67c | 123.89$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 122.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 59c | 121.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 52c | 121.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 17c | 120.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 30c | 113.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 112.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d43…d78abacked Yes | 35c | 110.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 64c | 109.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 108.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 29c | 108.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7da0…ca1ebacked Yes | 28c | 106.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 64c | 105$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…29ecbacked Yes | 51c | 99.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 35c | 95.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 31c | 92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 19c | 89.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 79c | 88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 73c | 82.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…7fe2backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 66c | 77.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked No | 36c | 74.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 26c | 74.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 67c | 67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 41c | 65.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…44bcbacked Yes | 36c | 64.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 34c | 62.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 33c | 60.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 72c | 59.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 28c | 58.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 44c | 56.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 65c | 55.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…71adbacked Yes | 70c | 52.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 33c | 50.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 36c | 50.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 71c | 50.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad2…7e40backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…bde5backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…a963backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0840…cb52backed Yes | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 26c | 49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 45c | 48.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2c…f9f2backed Yes | 42c | 47.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 74c | 47.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 63c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 38c | 45.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658e…2914backed No | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 68c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 69c | 41.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 66c | 41.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 69c | 39.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 60c | 39.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed No | 60c | 39.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…866abacked No | 60c | 39.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…5f75backed No | 70c | 38.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 65c | 36.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.