Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Richmond Spiders vs. VCU Rams: O/U 155.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x473d8d50874f2ecb9c2a21008608cfc091aeda6a64daefbca323c975541ac488
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 52c | 31,548$16,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,143.19 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 13,205$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 48c | 6,539$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.77 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 48c | 6,040$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.2 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 3,835$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.71 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 48c | 3,175$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 1,992$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 1,030$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.4 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 48c | 770.83$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 448.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 53c | 405.66$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.66 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 48c | 382$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.36 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 52c | 377.7$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.29 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 48c | 355.2$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 48c | 340$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 310.6$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 48c | 103.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 48c | 80.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 48c | 49.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ba…2a2fbacked Over | 48c | 41.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…49c4backed Under | 53c | 32.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 53c | 30.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…9249backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…fc7abacked Under | 53c | 28.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 48c | 28.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Over | 48c | 21.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Richmond Spiders vs. VCU Rams: O/U 155.5this page
- Richmond Spiders vs. VCU RamsVCU Rams won
- Richmond Spiders vs. VCU Rams: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-11.5)Richmond Spiders won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-12.5)Richmond Spiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.