Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb059f42b1e2f20ddb35d91baf0f970709a7396145ede3a5d04002bdef845aa4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mississippi State Bulldogsof Auburn Tigers, Mississippi State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Auburn Tigers | 53c | 3,769$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.36 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 47c | 3,734$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.04 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 47c | 1,982$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.69 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Auburn Tigers | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 45c | 386.05$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Auburn Tigers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…b449backed Auburn Tigers | 49c | 360.13$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Auburn Tigers | 44c | 250.3$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 51c | 192.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 62c | 176.12$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Auburn Tigers | 56c | 171.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Auburn Tigers | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Auburn Tigers | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Auburn Tigers | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 45c | 114.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Auburn Tigers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 44c | 98.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 44c | 71.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Auburn Tigers | 54c | 68.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…25f8backed Auburn Tigers | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Auburn Tigers | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c4…39a4backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 48c | 45.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 46c | 32.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 50c | 31.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…4793backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Auburn Tigers | 56c | 27.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Auburn Tigers | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-4.5)this page
- Auburn Tigers vs. Mississippi State BulldogsMississippi State Bulldogs won
- Auburn Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: O/U 153.5Over won
- Auburn Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: O/U 154.5Over won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-5.5)Mississippi State Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.