Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf539d2214464d1b764cf48dcbf5a7a6b13d08ded571aa9748e13b519233a6ddc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 46c | 2,707$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.54 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 54c | 459$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.86 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 45c | 443.48$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.3 | 307 | 22.1%68 W · 239 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 54c | 417.24$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.27 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 63c | 292.32$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.19 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 30c | 284.01$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 8c | 272.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 19c | 238.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 46c | 195.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 57c | 192.8$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 47c | 192.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 57c | 180.13$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 14c | 141.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 38c | 139$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 63c | 129.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 30c | 122.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 51c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 36c | 117.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 49c | 113.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987f…b37dbacked Yes | 35c | 103.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 49c | 99.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed Yes | 57c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 385 | 60.3%232 W · 153 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 59c | 84.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 52c | 76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…41ccbacked Yes | 67c | 72.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 270 | 51.1%138 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed No | 53c | 69.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 65c | 69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 34c | 67.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…154ebacked No | 61c | 62.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 38c | 61.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ed…21fdbacked No | 74c | 60.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…e7edbacked Yes | 36c | 59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 547 | 35.5%194 W · 353 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 44c | 55.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 33c | 54.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 30c | 53.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed No | 54c | 51.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 267 | 44.2%118 W · 149 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb699…4e20backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 40c | 48.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…0629backed No | 64c | 47.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 63c | 46.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 51c | 45.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0ec3backed Yes | 54c | 44.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 132 | 66.7%88 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8a…b9f8backed Yes | 38c | 43.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked No | 54c | 42.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 52c | 42.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 42.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca4…118dbacked No | 54c | 42.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…cfaabacked Yes | 44c | 40.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 57c | 38.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Yes | 78c | 37.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed No | 66c | 36.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…bc49backed Yes | 54c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…1f86backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 235 | 60%141 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…6f13backed Yes | 59c | 34.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…c4f6backed Yes | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 58c | 28.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 43c | 27.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb26…55a5backed Yes | 47c | 26.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 66c | 26.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 52c | 26.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 46c | 26.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a2…e032backed No | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 66c | 24.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 403 | 37.2%150 W · 253 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…8bfebacked Yes | 47c | 23.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 50c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 59c | 20.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 54c | 20.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…5147backed No | 55c | 18.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -17.1wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 27-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…67c2backed No | 65c | 18.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 511 | 56.6%289 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…c205backed Yes | 57c | 17.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 213 | 61%130 W · 83 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 17.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…0ecfbacked Yes | 68c | 16.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on July 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.