NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9ce93c138bf0339cd13e61be0c0465672535b80bdd6eab839b83b3f1a5d7e95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 53c | 2,170$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.58 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,859$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.18 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 48c | 1,176$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.55 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 622.16$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 437.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 51c | 390.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.74 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 48c | 350.49$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.26 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Under | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 50c | 275$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 48c | 202.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 48c | 184.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 165$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 142.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 49c | 119.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 112.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 50.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over | 47c | 47.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 41.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2f…670ebacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 49c | 36.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 43c | 31.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…6504backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…5e2dbacked Under | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d4…2c19backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 52c | 23.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 128 | 26.6%34 W · 94 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Kings: O/U 5.5this page
- Kraken vs. KingsKraken won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.