Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open, Qualification: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Tamara Zidansek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd19f7de4b5bacafe07cc1ab880e88fc0a41e47c762b180a887ac98fe03fa8d85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefaniniof Stefanini, Zidansek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Zidansek | 13c | 6,647$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.94 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stefanini | 73c | 1,287$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.74 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Stefanini | 48c | 913.13$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.83 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Zidansek | 30c | 560$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Stefanini | 67c | 402.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Zidansek | 52c | 375$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Zidansek | 24c | 355.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Zidansek | 29c | 299.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Zidansek | 28c | 290.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Stefanini | 64c | 253.91$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Stefanini | 59c | 229$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…ad4abacked Stefanini | 75c | 213.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Zidansek | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Stefanini | 52c | 199.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Zidansek | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…f893backed Zidansek | 13c | 178.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zidansek | 22c | 172.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…da06backed Stefanini | 60c | 171.53$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zidansek | 26c | 151.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stefanini | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Zidansek | 52c | 145.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…cde5backed Stefanini | 73c | 122.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Zidansek | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Stefanini | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Stefanini | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Stefanini | 76c | 67.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked Zidansek | 30c | 65.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zidansek | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Zidansek | 31c | 47.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stefanini | 56c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ae…1464backed Stefanini | 77c | 32.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…3b30backed Stefanini | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zidansek | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…68ffbacked Stefanini | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6fbdbacked Stefanini | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.