South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF América win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb88ba328098223474562878760b34afa8a3af8fa41e499805d2888fb3291a5d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 31c | 4,700$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.84 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 69c | 2,865$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.75 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 33c | 2,836$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.46 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 68c | 2,206$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 1,930$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.97 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 32c | 1,665$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.2 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Yes | 25c | 1,120$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 69c | 999.95$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 985.91$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.81 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 67c | 753.57$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.12 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 47c | 480.62$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.03 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c20…f190backed Yes | 69c | 367.39$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 70c | 350$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 69c | 260.87$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 23c | 237.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a2…5152backed Yes | 62c | 209.81$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 51c | 166.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 69c | 162.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 33c | 161.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 30c | 149.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 22c | 148.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 70c | 143.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed No | 35c | 142.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…a698backed Yes | 66c | 120$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 16c | 115.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 35c | 96.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked No | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 27c | 92.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 70c | 91.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 84.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…4355backed Yes | 70c | 78.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 31c | 77.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…3902backed Yes | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 18c | 56.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed No | 31c | 51.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 57c | 49.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Yes | 68c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 32c | 40.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…8cfebacked Yes | 61c | 36.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.5wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Yes | 70c | 34.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8194…ecd6backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa675…d7bcbacked Yes | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 77c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF América win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-01-14?Yes won
- Will CF América vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.