South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31343fd330e0767a745ef35b60535350bdd9aaee79a80f84c1ffd575abfdcbbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 13c | 5,050$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,393.49 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 2,781$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.16 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 79c | 2,665$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.71 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 1,859$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.42 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 34c | 848.52$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.14 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 12c | 804.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.53 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 13c | 595.01$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.66 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 523.1$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 14c | 455$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.3 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 68c | 290.62$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.79 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 37c | 272.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.84 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 268.43$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.79 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Yes | 39c | 259.04$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…1e9ebacked Yes | 42c | 249.07$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 247.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.41 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba8…c31fbacked Yes | 13c | 222$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ca…6e5ebacked Yes | 13c | 190$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 178$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 13c | 146.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.76 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 50c | 143$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 41c | 141.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 74c | 135.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a2…5152backed Yes | 41c | 133.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 37c | 114$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 66c | 106.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 72c | 102.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 59c | 100.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c2…94c0backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 57c | 89.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 76c | 88.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 36c | 65.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 38c | 65.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 62c | 58.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 61c | 47.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Yes | 28c | 44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 67c | 38.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f77…41c3backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked No | 69c | 18.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 60c | 17.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will CF América vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?No won
- Will CF América win on 2026-01-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.