Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Tahlia Kokkinis vs Anouk Koevermans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x851511ec3c85ac76a5a37f625583528c1c0bdfd03119f6bc4c178de5263c8900
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Koevermansof Kokkinis, Koevermans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Kokkinis | 35c | 3,354$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.11 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Koevermans | 64c | 1,855$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.29 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Koevermans | 67c | 733.98$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.71 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kokkinis | 35c | 670.12$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.06 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Koevermans | 65c | 511.8$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.13 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kokkinis | 37c | 301$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.86 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Kokkinis | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Koevermans | 64c | 221.85$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Kokkinis | 12c | 169$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Koevermans | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Koevermans | 66c | 132.71$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Koevermans | 80c | 129.4$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Koevermans | 62c | 116.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Kokkinis | 13c | 111.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Koevermans | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Koevermans | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…8efdbacked Koevermans | 63c | 78.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Koevermans | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Koevermans | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Koevermans | 31c | 52.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Koevermans | 60c | 45.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Kokkinis | 36c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Koevermans | 72c | 43.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Kokkinis | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Koevermans | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed Koevermans | 63c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Koevermans | 65c | 15.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Tahlia Kokkinis vs Anouk Koevermansthis page
- Kokkinis vs. Koevermans: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Kokkinis vs. Koevermans: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Kokkinis vs KoevermansKoevermans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.