Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f0e028be1e77bdff94ffffaa317d0fe4cb54332ad41db71b685cb1d7dc3b484
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 318.21$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.93 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 218.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes | 60c | 186.4$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed No | 29c | 183.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.77 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 36c | 140.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 42c | 104.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Yes | 74c | 75.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 62cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…f067backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 60.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 35c | 53.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked No | 79c | 53.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 39.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 64c | 29.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.