Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95f731d53eec524ba6728e870e38643aeac8b782c97bca4e7f70fa88e007852c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 50c | 7,033$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 6,251$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.93 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 47c | 3,012$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.27 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 63c | 2,837$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.94 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 62c | 2,401$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.38 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 1,319$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.09 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 1,041$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.05 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 51c | 930.14$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.77 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 37c | 818.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.23 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 723.9$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.21 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 37c | 702.03$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.28 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 37c | 272$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 60c | 249.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 43c | 144.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 144$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 56c | 137$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 106$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under | 46c | 100.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 43c | 94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 52c | 88.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Under | 50c | 85.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 40c | 74.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 67c | 74.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a35…f88bbacked Under | 42c | 72.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 63c | 61.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 53c | 58.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Over | 50c | 55.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 37c | 55.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 52c | 47.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 37c | 35.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 42c | 33.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5b…dc4ebacked Under | 44c | 33.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…8c6dbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 60c | 32.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 56c | 31.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 61c | 30.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Under | 42c | 26.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 42c | 26.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 58c | 24.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…6a42backed Over | 60c | 20.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…87aebacked Over | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 60c | 17.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.