Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e5459d3f1028830c162e133b0d5f8eb3d0ad8d197fd2e7738fcf91ba4c71756
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 46c | 7,194$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 6,031$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.06 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 56c | 1,142$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.33 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 655.72$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.1 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 48c | 597.91$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.63 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 78c | 393.01$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.83 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 44c | 305.77$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Under | 53c | 244.23$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 41c | 243.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 66c | 214.06$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 70c | 144.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 70c | 144.46$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 51c | 108.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 30c | 98.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 69c | 69.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 43c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 62c | 50.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 31c | 36.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 39c | 35.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 73c | 35.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 38c | 33.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 55c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 66c | 22.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 72c | 16.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.