TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FCof Yunnan Yukun FC, Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,280
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,280 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe2bb…ea55backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC58c2,000$1,160 inWon+$8406354%34 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yunnan Yukun FC7c1,871$127 inLost-$127.341,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yunnan Yukun FC42c1,223$513 inLost-$512.521,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yunnan Yukun FC35c1,000$350 inLost-$3508132.1%26 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC58c996.55$578 inWon+$418.559246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC59c390.71$230 inWon+$160.712360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yunnan Yukun FC42c354.27$147 inLost-$147.4640448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yunnan Yukun FC31c150$47 inLost-$46.523347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC78c131.81$102 inWon+$29.615,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC70c100$70 inWon+$3021941.6%91 W · 128 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Yunnan Yukun FC34c96.84$33 inLost-$33922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC58c85$49 inWon+$35.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yunnan Yukun FC42c70.8$30 inLost-$29.5822656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f9b…555cbacked Yunnan Yukun FC40c70$28 inLost-$28944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+93%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1508…5760backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC59c67.79$40 inWon+$27.79966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yunnan Yukun FC42c63$26 inLost-$26.4639058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Yunnan Yukun FC42c57.76$24 inLost-$24.265151%26 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC57c52.61$30 inWon+$22.626955.1%38 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC67c50$34 inWon+$16.519158.6%112 W · 79 L+19.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yunnan Yukun FC39c28.58$11 inLost-$11.081,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9be6…b8b2backed Yunnan Yukun FC40c25$10 inLost-$10475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC59c19.61$12 inWon+$7.951,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef0…d45bbacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC70c14.7$10 inWon+$4.411275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.